Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.258932 0.298912 0.342691 0.394144 0.452919 0.517919 0.595215
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.192462 0.245029 0.308046 0.388967 0.489933 0.611560 0.768992
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.157942 0.217665 0.294673 0.400824 0.542882 0.725923 0.979105
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.133839 0.197215 0.284103 0.411183 0.591447 0.836990 1.195652
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.116936 0.182659 0.277694 0.423994 0.642172 0.953825 1.430676
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.104027 0.171224 0.273128 0.437322 0.693289 1.074571 1.682239
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.088326 0.152733 0.254877 0.426639 0.705705 1.137890 1.853170
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.076050 0.137697 0.239618 0.417922 0.718881 1.201946 2.029558
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.069536 0.131295 0.237335 0.429615 0.765535 1.322342 2.306338
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.066232 0.129976 0.243293 0.455620 0.838397 1.491708 2.679181
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.060895 0.124113 0.240377 0.465314 0.883405 1.617523 2.988679
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.055130 0.116585 0.233404 0.466542 0.912865 1.718284 3.262503
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.049486 0.108636 0.224892 0.464279 0.936373 1.811972 3.535250
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.044171 0.100614 0.215259 0.458700 0.952952 1.894515 3.795481
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.041456 0.097705 0.215475 0.472725 1.009126 2.056314 4.220318
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.038831 0.094609 0.214883 0.484897 1.062602 2.217351 4.657646
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.036699 0.092308 0.215652 0.499904 1.123189 2.397321 5.147734
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.034789 0.090254 0.216682 0.515503 1.186421 2.587834 5.675314
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.031051 0.083245 0.205710 0.503005 1.187358 2.649642 5.940950
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.027896 0.077217 0.196249 0.492805 1.192146 2.719574 6.229224
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.026519 0.075557 0.196941 0.506488 1.252434 2.913898 6.802526
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.026175 0.076578 0.204270 0.536908 1.354476 3.208235 7.620181
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.024797 0.074596 0.203873 0.548246 1.412316 3.408362 8.242649